The classic Christmas Premier League theory entails that if you’re in or lurking near the bottom three come Christmas time, you tend to be a goner.
If you take the previous two seasons and look at the table by Christmas, five of the six teams in the drop zone would get relegated, the only outlier being Wolves last season, who were on 12 points with 17 games played, Leicester who were two points above them, would fall victim to the drop.
Currently, the squad run by Nuno but signed by Sullivan, currently sit 18th in the Premier League on just 7 points, with the closest up ahead being Burnley who the Hammers are set to take on this weekend, which embarrassingly is what feels to be yet another six-pointer.
With just a measly 7 points achieved across 10 games, it averages that the Hammers would be on 12 points come the 17 game mark, which conveniently, was what Wolves were on when they escaped! But Luton in the 2023/24 season and Ipswich in the 2024/25 season both would find themselves in the Championship after having 12 points at Christmas…
However, these preposterous stats and mathematics are slightly flawed for a couple of reasons, the first of which being that Nuno hasn’t been the manager of West Ham for the entire season, so not all of the results are under him, but more importantly, IF West Ham were to beat Burnley on the weekend, that would put on 10 points which ultimately suggest that we’d only get two points within 6 matches, whilst highly possible, it’s also highly unlikely to happen.
The remaining games until Christmas wouldn’t leave a pleasant taste in the mouth, considering West Ham will face Burnley (H), Bournemouth (A), Liverpool (H), Manchester United (A), Brighton (A), Aston Villa (H), Manchester City (A). It’s one of the toughest runs a team will face in the Premier League in the run-up to Christmas Day, so certainly a Nuno Espirito Santa miracle will be needed. - LN